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Smaug the Impenetrable

· Legendary Creature — Dragon · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)

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Times Brought

165

Decks Running

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Smaug the Impenetrable

Legendary Creature — Dragon

Flying, indestructible, haste Whenever Smaug is dealt noncombat damage, create that many Treasure tokens.

8 / 7

The Hobbit Eternal (HOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Marta Nael

Final zone distribution

38 instances

52.6%

Battlefield

15.8%

Graveyard

31.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Smaug, Wicked Worm 10 decks
2 The Ur-Dragon 10 decks
3 Kaalia of the Vast 6 decks
4 Vihaan, Goldwaker 5 decks
5 Maular, the Next Evolution 3 decks
6 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 3 decks
7 Asmoranomardicadaistinaculdacar 2 decks
8 Nicol Bolas, the Ravager // Nicol Bolas, the Arisen 2 decks
9 Rivaz of the Claw 2 decks
10 Sauron, the Dark Lord 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

165 brought · 59 players

Brought to game

165

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 91% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.3pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=16) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=99).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.7pp; 95% confidence interval -2.3pp to +21.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=139

17%

24%

45%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 10

On curve 86% (25 / 139 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.