Smuggler's Share
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Smuggler's Share
Final zone distribution
87 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Yennett, Cryptic Sovereign
26 decks
-
2
Ms. Bumbleflower
19 decks
-
3
Giada, Font of Hope
14 decks
-
4
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer
11 decks
-
5
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
7 decks
-
6
Kamiz, Obscura Oculus
6 decks
-
7
Vihaan, Goldwaker
6 decks
-
8
Queen Marchesa
5 decks
-
9
Bard, King of Dale
4 decks
-
10
Dack Fayden, Helping Hand
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
432 brought · 256 playersOnce cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=38) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=247).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=22).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -9.1pp to +7.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.