Live Play Data

Spectral Deluge

· Sorcery · Kaldheim Commander (KHC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

323

Decks Running

166

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

45%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=52

62%

T6-9

31%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 19

On curve 15% (4 / 52 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

323 brought · 161 players

Brought to game

323

Ever drawn

115

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +4.1pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=48) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=175).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=55).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +18.3pp; 95% confidence interval +4.1pp to +32.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

128 instances

4.7%

Library

5.5%

Battlefield

36.7%

Graveyard

20.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Spectral Deluge

Sorcery

Return each creature your opponents control with toughness X or less to its owner's hand, where X is the number of Islands you control. Foretell {1}

(During your turn, you may pay {2}

and exile this card from your hand face down. Cast it on a later turn for its foretell cost.)

Kaldheim Commander (KHC) · Rare · Illustrated by Kieran Yanner

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.