Live Play Data

Sphinx of the Second Sun

· Creature — Sphinx · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

976

Decks Running

405

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=193

20%

58%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 17

On curve 77% (27 / 193 cast on T8) Cast same turn as drawn 37%

The "good card" funnel

977 brought · 371 players

Brought to game

977

Ever drawn

305

Reached battlefield

193

Still on board at game end

112

Once cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +17.4pp

Players who cast this card win 47% of the time (n=179) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=575).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=100).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +25.1pp; 95% confidence interval +17.4pp to +32.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

331 instances

2.7%

Library

33.8%

Battlefield

24.2%

Graveyard

10.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Ur-Sphinx 70 decks
2 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 34 decks
3 Obeka, Splitter of Seconds 25 decks
4 Hashaton, Scarab's Fist 21 decks
5 Braids, Conjurer Adept 20 decks
6 Marvo, Deep Operative 20 decks
7 Lynde, Cheerful Tormentor 16 decks
8 Mirko, Obsessive Theorist 15 decks
9 Itazura, Lingering Wick 13 decks
10 Whtz, the Bibliophile 9 decks

Card text

Sphinx of the Second Sun

Creature — Sphinx

Flying At the beginning of each of your postcombat main phases, there is an additional beginning phase after this phase. (The beginning phase includes the untap, upkeep, and draw steps.)

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Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Antonio José Manzanedo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.