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collections_bookmark Part of Lorwyn Eclipsed
Subterfuge card art
Live Play Data

Subterfuge

{4} {U} · Creature — Elemental Incarnation · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
533
Decks Running
241
Median Cast Turn
7.0
Drawn → Played
64%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=96
1%
T1
0%
T2
1%
T3
6%
T4
10%
T5
58%
T6-9
23%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 19
On curve 19% (10 / 96 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

533 brought · 221 players
Brought to game
533
Ever drawn
150
Reached battlefield
96
Still on board at game end
44

Once cast, 46% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +10.6pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=88) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=311).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=49).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +20.8pp; 95% confidence interval +10.6pp to +31.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

163 instances
1.2%
Library
27.0%
Battlefield
36.2%
Graveyard
8.6%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Subterfuge card

Subterfuge

{4} {U}
Creature — Elemental Incarnation
When this creature enters, target creature gains flying and "Whenever this creature deals combat damage to a player, draw that many cards" until end of turn. Encore {7}{U}{U} ({7}{U}{U}, Exile this card from your graveyard: For each opponent, create a token copy that attacks that opponent this turn if able. They gain haste. Sacrifice them at the beginning of the next end step. Activate only as a sorcery.)
3 / 5
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Ilse Gort

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.