Subterfuge
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Subterfuge
Final zone distribution
74 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ashling, the Limitless
151 decks
-
2
Mass of Mysteries
4 decks
-
3
Ant-Man, Elusive Avenger
3 decks
-
4
Horde of Notions
2 decks
-
5
Satya, Aetherflux Genius
2 decks
-
6
Animar, Soul of Elements
1 decks
-
7
Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound
1 decks
-
8
Brinelin, the Moon Kraken
1 decks
-
9
Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk
1 decks
-
10
Claire D'Loon, Joy Sculptor
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
335 brought · 171 playersOnce cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=32) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=176).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=22).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +10.8pp; 95% confidence interval +1.7pp to +19.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.