Sundown Pass
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sundown Pass
Final zone distribution
540 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Edgar Markov
59 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
48 decks
-
3
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
47 decks
-
4
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
28 decks
-
5
Isshin, Two Heavens as One
28 decks
-
6
Lorehold, the Historian
27 decks
-
7
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
26 decks
-
8
Mr. House, President and CEO
24 decks
-
9
The Tenth Doctor
24 decks
-
10
Lightning, Army of One
23 decks
The "good card" funnel
2487 brought · 1024 playersOnce cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=338) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1376).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=54).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.8pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +5.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.