Live Play Data

Sungrass Prairie

Land · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

19%

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

1165

Decks Running

579

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

77%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

19% of tracked Commander decks in green-white include Sungrass Prairie, and 77% of drawn copies reach the battlefield, with a median first-cast turn of 4.0.

Sungrass Prairie shows up in 19% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, appearing in 579 of the 3079 distinct decks that have played a live game. For a tap-land that asks for an extra mana, that uptake is a clear signal that green-white players treat reliable two-color fixing as a priority.

When Sungrass Prairie reaches a player's hand, it goes to the battlefield 77% of the time. The median first cast lands on turn 4.0, though the distribution is wide: early-hand copies go down in turns 1-2, while late-drawn copies stretch well into the midgame. Battlefield stickiness sits at 92%, which is expected for a land with no built-in sacrifice clause.

The commander spread is notably broad. 502 distinct players have brought the card to a tracked game, and no single player accounts for more than 2% of all instances. That spread strengthens confidence in the patterns we see, though the dataset is still growing and directional rather than conclusive.

At a glance

19% of tracked Commander decks include Sungrass Prairie
77% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game ends
T4.0 median first-cast turn
92% battlefield stickiness once played
502 distinct players have brought this card to a tracked game
22% draw rate, consistent with a singleton in a 100-card deck

First-cast turn

n=198

12%

15%

16%

13%

30%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 49%

The "good card" funnel

1165 brought · 502 players

Brought to game

1165

Ever drawn

257

Reached battlefield

198

Still on board at game end

183

77%

Of 1165 copies brought to games, 257 were drawn, 198 of those were cast, and 92% stayed on the battlefield through end of game.

≥ -0.5pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=187) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=786).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=55) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +5.9pp; 95% confidence interval -0.5pp to +12.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

285 instances

2.5%

Library

64.2%

Battlefield

15.1%

Graveyard

2.8%

Exile

Most Sungrass Prairie copies never leave the library, a structural feature of 100-card singleton rather than a knock on the card's utility.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The commander list is spread across green-white, Bant, and Naya shells, with Ms. Bumbleflower, Tidus, and Cloud leading by raw deck count, confirming the land is not tied to any single archetype.

Frequently Asked

How often is Sungrass Prairie drawn in a Commander game?

Across 1079 tracked games where Sungrass Prairie was in the deck, it was drawn 22% of the time. That is consistent with what you would expect from a single copy in a 100-card deck. Of 257 instances that reached a player's hand, 77% were cast or played before the game ended. The remainder is largely a game-length effect: copies drawn very late rarely see play before the table reaches a conclusion.

What turn does Sungrass Prairie typically hit the battlefield?

The median first-cast turn is 4.0, with a mean around 4.5. The distribution is fairly spread: a cluster of copies come down in turns 1-3 (drawn in opening hands or early draws), and another cluster lands in turns 5-6. The mode in multiplayer is turn 3, suggesting a common pattern of keeping a hand with Prairie and playing it as one of your early land drops after a basic.

Does casting Sungrass Prairie correlate with winning?

In 187 tracked participations where Sungrass Prairie was cast, the win rate is 26%, compared to 20% when the card stayed in the library. The delta is small and the confidence interval crosses zero, so treat this as directional rather than conclusive. The more useful read is that decks choosing to include Prairie are competitive, not that the land itself creates a win-rate edge.

Is Sungrass Prairie legal in Commander?

Yes. Sungrass Prairie is legal in Commander, Legacy, Vintage, Duel Commander, Premodern, and Oathbreaker. It is not legal in Modern, Pioneer, Standard, Pauper, Alchemy, or Brawl. In Commander it has no restrictions and can be included in any deck whose color identity includes green and white.

Why do green-white Commander players include a tap-land that costs extra mana?

Sungrass Prairie taps for both {G} and {W} at the cost of {1} and a tap, making it one of the few budget-accessible dual lands that hits both colors without entering tapped unconditionally. In a format where consistent mana over turns 1-5 matters more than pure speed, the one-mana activation cost is an acceptable trade-off for reliable fixing. The 19% inclusion rate we observe on Playgroup Live reflects that calculation across hundreds of distinct decks.

How concentrated is this card among players in the dataset?

The data is well spread. 502 unique players have brought Sungrass Prairie to at least one tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for only 2% of all instances. That means the inclusion and play patterns we observe are not driven by a handful of repeat players, which is a meaningful strength for a dataset of this size.