Sword of Fire and Ice
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sword of Fire and Ice
Final zone distribution
144 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
24 decks
-
2
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary
21 decks
-
3
Captain America, First Avenger
19 decks
-
4
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
14 decks
-
5
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
14 decks
-
6
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
11 decks
-
7
Kratos, God of War
10 decks
-
8
Kotis, the Fangkeeper
7 decks
-
9
Syr Gwyn, Hero of Ashvale
7 decks
-
10
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
714 brought · 333 playersOnce cast, 86% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=61) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=418).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=27).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +8.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.