The Shire
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Shire
Final zone distribution
226 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit
41 decks
-
2
Ygra, Eater of All
37 decks
-
3
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
36 decks
-
4
Shelob, Child of Ungoliant
27 decks
-
5
Sam, Loyal Attendant
17 decks
-
6
Baylen, the Haymaker
16 decks
-
7
Aragorn, the Uniter
15 decks
-
8
Bilbo, Birthday Celebrant
15 decks
-
9
Brenard, Ginger Sculptor
9 decks
-
10
Galadriel, Light of Valinor
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
967 brought · 419 playersOnce cast, 97% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=148) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=551).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=19).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.1pp to +6.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.