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The Theorist, Jace Beleren

· Legendary Planeswalker — Jace · Reality Fracture (FRA)

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Times Brought

444

Decks Running

235

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

The Theorist, Jace Beleren

Legendary Planeswalker — Jace

At the beginning of each opponent's draw step, you draw a card. +1: Create a 1/1 blue Illusion creature token. −2: For each opponent, return up to one target artifact or creature that player controls to its owner's hand. −6: Draw three cards. Then put X +1/+1 counters on each creature you control, where X is the number of cards in your hand.

Loyalty 3

Reality Fracture (FRA) · Mythic · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Final zone distribution

129 instances

1.6%

Library

48.8%

Battlefield

26.4%

Graveyard

2.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Jace, Multiverse Architect 59 decks
2 Tam, the Possibility 43 decks
3 Whtz, the Bibliophile 17 decks
4 Denzilore Fatehold 9 decks
5 Vraska, Soul of Stone 8 decks
6 The Ur-Sphinx 7 decks
7 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 5 decks
8 Bard, King of Dale 5 decks
9 Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound 5 decks
10 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 4 decks

The "good card" funnel

444 brought · 213 players

Brought to game

444

Ever drawn

122

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 69% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.0pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=70) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=223).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.3pp; 95% confidence interval +4.0pp to +16.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=91

16%

18%

42%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 27% (15 / 91 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 45%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.