Live Play Data

The Water Crystal

· Legendary Artifact · Final Fantasy (FIN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1269

Decks Running

578

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=165

18%

22%

41%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 28% (29 / 165 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

1269 brought · 509 players

Brought to game

1269

Ever drawn

252

Reached battlefield

165

Still on board at game end

125

Once cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.6pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=156) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=831).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=76).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.7pp; 95% confidence interval +3.6pp to +17.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

320 instances

4.1%

Library

39.1%

Battlefield

27.2%

Graveyard

7.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Wise Mothman 65 decks
2 Hope Estheim 59 decks
3 The Mindskinner 42 decks
4 Captain N'ghathrod 36 decks
5 Homer, the Hermit 34 decks
6 Bruvac the Grandiloquent 26 decks
7 The Ur-Sphinx 23 decks
8 Whtz, the Bibliophile 22 decks
9 Phenax, God of Deception 17 decks
10 Saruman of Many Colors 16 decks

Card text

The Water Crystal

Legendary Artifact

Blue spells you cast cost {1}

less to cast. If an opponent would mill one or more cards, they mill that many cards plus four instead. {4}

: Each opponent mills cards equal to the number of cards in your hand.

Final Fantasy (FIN) · Rare · Illustrated by Pablo Mendoza

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.