Thornwood Falls
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Thornwood Falls
Final zone distribution
247 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Swarmlord
54 decks
-
2
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
37 decks
-
3
Galadriel, Elven-Queen
22 decks
-
4
Omo, Queen of Vesuva
22 decks
-
5
Zimone, Mystery Unraveler
19 decks
-
6
Magus Lucea Kane
12 decks
-
7
Otrimi, the Ever-Playful
11 decks
-
8
Kotis, the Fangkeeper
10 decks
-
9
Kadena, Slinking Sorcerer
8 decks
-
10
The Ur-Dragon
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1027 brought · 433 playersOnce cast, 98% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=144) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=562).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=40).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.3pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +8.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.