Thousand Moons Smithy // Barracks of the Thousand
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Thousand Moons Smithy
Barracks of the Thousand
Final zone distribution
88 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
T'Challa, the Black Panther
26 decks
-
2
Mendicant Core, Guidelight
14 decks
-
3
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
13 decks
-
4
Urza, Chief Artificer
7 decks
-
5
Breya, Etherium Shaper
6 decks
-
6
Tetzin, Gnome Champion // The Golden-Gear Colossus
5 decks
-
7
Kilo, Apogee Mind
4 decks
-
8
Captain America, Living Legend
3 decks
-
9
Commander Mustard
3 decks
-
10
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
366 brought · 147 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=45) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=205).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +10.3pp; 95% confidence interval +2.7pp to +17.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.