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Thriving Bluff

Land · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

583

Decks Running

303

In Decks

2450

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

150 instances

3.3%

Library

67.3%

Battlefield

14.0%

Graveyard

3.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ashling, the Limitless 48 decks
2 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 45 decks
3 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 31 decks
4 Admiral Brass, Unsinkable 14 decks
5 Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements 10 decks
6 The Tenth Doctor 10 decks
7 Fire Lord Azula 9 decks
8 Anhelo, the Painter 4 decks
9 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 4 decks
10 Codie, Vociferous Codex 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

586 brought · 263 players

Brought to game

586

Ever drawn

138

Reached battlefield

108

Still on board at game end

101

Once cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.9pp

Players who cast this card win 20% of the time (n=101) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=375).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=26) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +1.0pp; 95% confidence interval -6.9pp to +8.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=108

30%

12%

10%

22%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 7 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 56%

555 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.