Live Play Data

Thunderbreak Regent

· Creature — Dragon · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

565

Decks Running

241

Median Cast Turn

5.5

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=96

14%

19%

14%

45%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 16

On curve 36% (18 / 96 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

565 brought · 224 players

Brought to game

565

Ever drawn

129

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.9pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=88) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=369).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=30).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.6pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +17.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

142 instances

1.4%

Library

37.3%

Battlefield

31.7%

Graveyard

6.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ureni of the Unwritten 58 decks
2 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 41 decks
3 Atarka, World Render 34 decks
4 Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm 16 decks
5 The Ur-Dragon 16 decks
6 Vrondiss, Rage of Ancients 13 decks
7 Eshki, Temur's Roar 12 decks
8 Rivaz of the Claw 8 decks
9 Tiamat 8 decks
10 Ganax, Astral Hunter 7 decks

Card text

Thunderbreak Regent

Creature — Dragon

Flying Whenever a Dragon you control becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, this creature deals 3 damage to that player.

4 / 4

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Ryan Pancoast

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.