Thunderbreak Regent
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Thunderbreak Regent
Final zone distribution
154 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
126 decks
-
2
Ureni of the Unwritten
62 decks
-
3
Atarka, World Render
60 decks
-
4
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
21 decks
-
5
Eshki, Temur's Roar
15 decks
-
6
The Ur-Dragon
15 decks
-
7
Vrondiss, Rage of Ancients
14 decks
-
8
Rivaz of the Claw
8 decks
-
9
Ganax, Astral Hunter
6 decks
-
10
Tiamat
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
750 brought · 346 playersOnce cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=74) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=415).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=35).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.2pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +9.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.