Card Preview
Tolarian Winds
·
Instant
·
Seventh Edition (7ED)
0%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
126
Decks Running
59
In Decks
417
Decklist Inclusion
0%
Format
Final zone distribution
42 instances7.1%
Library
2.4%
Battlefield
61.9%
Graveyard
7.1%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
13 decks
-
2
Captain Howler, Sea Scourge
8 decks
-
3
Norman Osborn // Green Goblin
5 decks
-
4
Queza, Augur of Agonies
4 decks
-
5
Rielle, the Everwise
3 decks
-
6
The Watcher in the Water
3 decks
-
7
Araumi of the Dead Tide
2 decks
-
8
The Astonishing Ant-Man
2 decks
-
9
Brallin, Skyshark Rider
1 decks
-
10
Codie, Vociferous Codex
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
129 brought · 59 playersBrought to game
129
Ever drawn
40
Reached battlefield
22
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -5.1pp
Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=22) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=76).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=17) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +14.3pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +33.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=22
0%
T1
0%
T2
5%
T3
18%
T4
23%
T5
50%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median
6.0
P25
5
· P75
7
· max
10
On curve
0%
(0 / 22 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
35%
22 of 100 times cast
22%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.