Turbulent Crater
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Turbulent Crater
Final zone distribution
87 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jace, Multiverse Architect
140 decks
-
2
Nissa, Leyline Tamer
11 decks
-
3
Ingris Stingerquill
3 decks
-
4
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
2 decks
-
5
Codie, Ravenous Codex
1 decks
-
6
Dihada, Binder of Wills
1 decks
-
7
Edgar Markov
1 decks
-
8
Olivia, Mobilized for War
1 decks
-
9
Tam, the Possibility
1 decks
-
10
Tevesh Szat, Doom of Fools
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
296 brought · 158 playersOnce cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=51) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=166).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 37% (n=19).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -9.9pp to +5.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.