Live Play Data

Unstable Experiment

· Instant · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

251

Decks Running

121

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=36

28%

50%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 3% (1 / 36 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

251 brought · 117 players

Brought to game

251

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +2.4pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=34) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=161).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +17.6pp; 95% confidence interval +2.4pp to +32.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

69 instances

2.9%

Battlefield

68.1%

Graveyard

10.1%

Exile

18.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Doctor Doom, King of Latveria 35 decks
2 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 18 decks
3 Cosmic Spider-Man 10 decks
4 Doctor Octopus, Master Planner 7 decks
5 Ms. Marvel, Kamala Khan 5 decks
6 Ultron, Unlimited 5 decks
7 The Astonishing Ant-Man 4 decks
8 Whtz, the Bibliophile 3 decks
9 Captain Howler, Sea Scourge 2 decks
10 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-Spider 2 decks

Card text

Unstable Experiment

Instant

Target player draws a card, then up to one target creature you control connives. (Draw a card, then discard a card. If you discarded a nonland card, put a +1/+1 counter on that creature.)

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Common · Illustrated by David Palumbo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.