Verdant Sun's Avatar
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Verdant Sun's Avatar
Final zone distribution
120 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
99 decks
-
2
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
55 decks
-
3
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
19 decks
-
4
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
18 decks
-
5
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
9 decks
-
6
Kona, Rescue Beastie
7 decks
-
7
Ghalta, Stampede Tyrant
5 decks
-
8
Ghalta and Mavren
3 decks
-
9
Beledros Witherbloom
2 decks
-
10
Felothar the Steadfast
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
502 brought · 233 playersOnce cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=59) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=288).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=32).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval -5.0pp to +8.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.