Live Play Data

Vernal Sovereign

· Creature — Elemental Elk · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

227

Decks Running

100

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=33

12%

58%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 45% (7 / 33 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 18%

The "good card" funnel

230 brought · 95 players

Brought to game

230

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 30% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.2pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=29) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=131).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.2pp; 95% confidence interval -6.2pp to +26.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

68 instances

5.9%

Library

14.7%

Battlefield

32.4%

Graveyard

11.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Vernal Sovereign

Creature — Elemental Elk

Whenever this creature enters or attacks, create a green and white Elemental creature token with "This token's power and toughness are each equal to the number of creatures you control."

4 / 4

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Aaron Miller

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.