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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Esper Commanders

Esper commanders have a 27.1% win rate across 3,499 games tracked in the last 30 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

39
Ranked
3,499
Games
Win Rate
27.1%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
3,499
Last 30 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 49m
9.1 rounds
Commanders
39
With 10+ games

Win Conditions

Esper commanders most commonly win through Combat (49.6% of wins) across 3,499 tracked games.

Combat 49.6%
Non Combat Damage 20.9%
Commander Damage 10.5%
Alternative 10.2%
Combo 6.3%
Mill 2.0%
Poison 0.5%

Game Concentration

7 commanders account for 50% of all Esper games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

7
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

48 of 53 Esper commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

90.6%
Coverage
48 played 53 total
Rankings

Esper Commanders by Win Rate

39
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 48.08% 13 NEW
2 S 46.67% 15 +19.59%
3 S 46.15% 13 +4.48%
4 S 43.97% 58 +22.47%
5 S 43.75% 28 +27.3%
6 S 42.27% 55 +22.11%
7 S 36.18% 76 -4.83%
8 S 36.11% 135 +3.89%
9 A 33.75% 20 -6.25%
10 A 33.33% 33 +6.0%
11 A 33.33% 12 NEW
12 A 31.68% 191 ~
13 A 30.88% 17 +4.74%
14 B 29.67% 182 +8.64%
15 B 29.61% 233 ~
16 B 29.31% 58 +17.88%
17 B 28.82% 72 ~
18 B 28.75% 80 -3.07%
19 B 28.65% 794 ~
20 B 28.25% 146 ~
21 B 28.06% 90 -7.0%
22 B 28.05% 41 ~
23 B 25.9% 139 ~
24 B 25.71% 176 ~
25 B 24.42% 43 -14.96%
26 B 23.14% 161 ~
27 C 21.98% 58 +5.18%
28 C 21.32% 34 ~
29 C 21.25% 100 +7.4%
30 C 20.45% 11 NEW
31 C 19.41% 179 -4.5%
32 C 18.1% 29 ~
33 D 17.73% 55 -9.29%
34 D 17.71% 24 -5.97%
35 D 15.03% 168 -10.07%
36 D 14.58% 48 -3.6%
37 D 14.29% 14 NEW
38 D 14.29% 14 NEW
39 D 13.75% 40 -9.04%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the win rate for Esper commanders?

Esper commanders have a 27.1% win rate across 3,499 tracked casual Commander games in the last 30 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.

How many Esper commanders are tracked?

Playgroup.gg tracks 39 Esper commanders with at least 10 recorded games and at least 3 distinct registered pilots in the last 30 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.

How are Esper commander rankings calculated?

Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

How often is the Esper data updated?

Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 30 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.

Last updated: