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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Esper Commanders

Esper commanders have a 25.98% win rate across 23,478 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

52
Ranked
23,478
Games
Win Rate
25.98%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
23,478
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
1h 56m
9.0 rounds
Commanders
52
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Esper commanders most commonly win through Combat (50.5% of wins) across 23,478 tracked games.

Combat 50.5%
Non Combat Damage 22.5%
Commander Damage 9.3%
Alternative 8.6%
Combo 7.0%
Mill 1.3%
Poison 0.8%

Game Concentration

7 commanders account for 50% of all Esper games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

7
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

54 of 57 Esper commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

94.7%
Coverage
54 played 57 total
Rankings

Esper Commanders by Win Rate

52
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 42.28% 68 +13.25%
2 S 39.17% 30 NEW
3 S 35.58% 52 +5.77%
4 A 32.01% 585 ~
5 A 31.42% 397 +4.92%
6 A 31.25% 308 +3.52%
7 A 30.61% 352 +8.04%
8 A 30.3% 707 ~
9 B 29.82% 451 -4.74%
10 B 29.01% 1157 ~
11 B 28.93% 442 +3.68%
12 B 28.51% 235 ~
13 B 27.83% 53 +3.39%
14 B 27.78% 36 NEW
15 B 27.68% 1077 ~
16 B 27.61% 536 -3.44%
17 B 27.5% 60 NEW
18 B 27.36% 333 +3.08%
19 B 27.34% 5580 -3.97%
20 B 27.1% 1466 +3.09%
21 B 27.08% 277 +5.72%
22 B 26.53% 49 +5.64%
23 B 25.98% 115 ~
24 B 25.47% 1064 ~
25 B 25.19% 910 ~
26 B 25.16% 1271 ~
27 B 24.13% 143 -4.0%
28 B 23.91% 1218 -3.34%
29 B 23.75% 210 +8.48%
30 C 22.73% 88 -15.6%
31 C 22.66% 32 +11.05%
32 C 22.61% 1348 ~
33 C 22.36% 275 ~
34 C 22.22% 36 +5.55%
35 C 22.08% 257 ~
36 C 21.94% 294 ~
37 C 21.64% 1098 ~
38 C 21.29% 354 -6.8%
39 C 20.89% 79 -3.2%
40 C 20.2% 271 ~
41 C 20.08% 239 ~
42 C 19.81% 53 ~
43 C 19.68% 47 ~
44 C 19.49% 68 ~
45 C 19.17% 30 ~
46 C 19.08% 38 -5.92%
47 C 18.75% 56 -4.5%
48 D 17.45% 139 ~
49 D 17.02% 47 -7.98%
50 D 16.96% 56 -10.49%
51 D 16.08% 611 NEW
52 D 16.0% 25 NEW

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Esper commanders?
Esper commanders have a 25.98% win rate across 23,478 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Esper commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 52 Esper commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Esper commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Esper data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: