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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Esper Commanders

Esper commanders have a 26.66% win rate across 22,234 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

49
Ranked
22,234
Games
Win Rate
26.66%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
22,234
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
1h 24m
9.1 rounds
Commanders
49
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Esper commanders most commonly win through Combat (50.1% of wins) across 22,234 tracked games.

Combat 50.1%
Non Combat Damage 24.1%
Commander Damage 9.0%
Alternative 8.1%
Combo 6.4%
Mill 1.5%
Poison 0.7%

Game Concentration

7 commanders account for 50% of all Esper games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

7
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

52 of 53 Esper commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

98.1%
Coverage
52 played 53 total
Rankings

Esper Commanders by Win Rate

49
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 40.11% 91 +18.73%
2 S 35.57% 511 ~
3 A 34.88% 43 +14.47%
4 A 34.03% 288 +10.39%
5 A 32.41% 54 NEW
6 A 31.18% 93 +8.81%
7 A 31.12% 482 ~
8 A 31.0% 725 ~
9 A 30.66% 53 +8.74%
10 A 30.31% 480 -3.04%
11 B 29.92% 1117 ~
12 B 29.77% 5001 ~
13 B 28.99% 194 ~
14 B 28.77% 146 +3.26%
15 B 27.8% 339 +4.47%
16 B 27.58% 484 ~
17 B 27.02% 433 ~
18 B 26.62% 1020 ~
19 B 26.57% 1477 ~
20 B 26.37% 73 +6.27%
21 B 25.78% 255 ~
22 B 25.72% 1115 ~
23 B 25.68% 37 +8.01%
24 B 25.61% 1103 ~
25 B 25.54% 836 ~
26 B 25.46% 54 -7.47%
27 B 25.1% 1191 ~
28 B 25.07% 359 NEW
29 B 24.8% 123 ~
30 B 24.42% 260 ~
31 B 24.39% 41 NEW
32 B 23.18% 344 -4.23%
33 C 22.83% 69 -3.33%
34 C 22.41% 29 +3.41%
35 C 22.28% 230 NEW
36 C 21.81% 1317 ~
37 C 21.73% 1269 ~
38 C 20.41% 245 ~
39 C 20.07% 284 ~
40 C 19.87% 39 -6.23%
41 C 19.68% 47 +6.17%
42 C 18.57% 237 -4.39%
43 C 18.18% 44 ~
44 C 18.01% 118 ~
45 D 17.9% 183 -4.02%
46 D 16.54% 408 NEW
47 D 16.51% 53 -25.49%
48 D 15.18% 28 -6.14%
49 D 11.05% 43 NEW

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the win rate for Esper commanders?

Esper commanders have a 26.66% win rate across 22,234 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.

How many Esper commanders are tracked?

Playgroup.gg tracks 49 Esper commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.

How are Esper commander rankings calculated?

Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

How often is the Esper data updated?

Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.

Last updated: