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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Esper Commanders

Esper commanders have a 26.86% win rate across 21,694 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

44
Ranked
21,694
Games
Win Rate
26.86%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
21,694
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
-68m
9.1 rounds
Commanders
44
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Esper commanders most commonly win through Combat (51.1% of wins) across 21,694 tracked games.

Combat 51.1%
Non Combat Damage 23.9%
Commander Damage 8.7%
Alternative 8.0%
Combo 6.1%
Mill 1.5%
Poison 0.6%

Game Concentration

7 commanders account for 50% of all Esper games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

7
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

52 of 53 Esper commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

98.1%
Coverage
52 played 53 total
Rankings

Esper Commanders by Win Rate

44
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 39.13% 92 +19.13%
2 S 36.9% 42 +16.9%
3 S 36.46% 517 ~
4 A 34.07% 295 +11.34%
5 A 32.04% 696 ~
6 A 31.89% 501 ~
7 A 31.73% 490 +3.75%
8 A 31.65% 109 +8.36%
9 A 30.74% 148 +7.03%
10 B 29.97% 4927 ~
11 B 29.72% 1086 ~
12 B 28.06% 49 -4.33%
13 B 27.78% 54 +8.06%
14 B 27.5% 1032 ~
15 B 27.46% 71 +6.25%
16 B 26.95% 437 ~
17 B 26.67% 1426 +4.55%
18 B 26.64% 350 +3.63%
19 B 26.61% 496 ~
20 B 26.48% 1048 ~
21 B 26.35% 185 -4.37%
22 B 26.28% 1109 ~
23 B 25.49% 1185 ~
24 B 24.57% 813 ~
25 B 24.19% 123 ~
26 B 23.8% 333 -5.17%
27 B 23.57% 35 +6.9%
28 B 23.23% 339 NEW
29 B 23.21% 42 -4.06%
30 C 22.82% 195 NEW
31 C 22.47% 257 -5.12%
32 C 22.12% 1276 ~
33 C 22.04% 1379 ~
34 C 21.82% 330 ~
35 C 21.73% 260 -6.05%
36 C 21.64% 67 -6.36%
37 C 21.03% 258 ~
38 C 18.93% 239 -3.98%
39 D 17.71% 120 ~
40 D 16.94% 31 NEW
41 D 16.58% 187 -6.42%
42 D 16.46% 41 ~
43 D 16.31% 328 NEW
44 D 13.69% 42 NEW

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the win rate for Esper commanders?

Esper commanders have a 26.86% win rate across 21,694 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.

How many Esper commanders are tracked?

Playgroup.gg tracks 44 Esper commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.

How are Esper commander rankings calculated?

Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

How often is the Esper data updated?

Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.

Last updated: