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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Esper Commanders

Esper commanders have a 26.55% win rate across 22,511 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

50
Ranked
22,511
Games
Win Rate
26.55%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
22,511
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
1h 44m
9.1 rounds
Commanders
50
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Esper commanders most commonly win through Combat (51.2% of wins) across 22,511 tracked games.

Combat 51.2%
Non Combat Damage 23.1%
Commander Damage 8.8%
Alternative 8.3%
Combo 6.3%
Mill 1.5%
Poison 0.7%

Game Concentration

7 commanders account for 50% of all Esper games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

7
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

52 of 54 Esper commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

96.3%
Coverage
52 played 54 total
Rankings

Esper Commanders by Win Rate

50
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 43.61% 90 +24.7%
2 S 36.9% 517 +4.33%
3 S 35.91% 55 NEW
4 A 34.38% 48 +14.0%
5 A 33.52% 44 +18.64%
6 A 32.6% 306 +7.31%
7 A 31.22% 478 -3.03%
8 A 30.37% 205 ~
9 B 29.79% 715 -4.57%
10 B 29.63% 1118 ~
11 B 29.61% 483 ~
12 B 29.53% 469 +4.48%
13 B 29.49% 89 +5.0%
14 B 28.96% 5031 ~
15 B 28.46% 426 ~
16 B 28.33% 180 ~
17 B 27.8% 357 +5.12%
18 B 27.78% 36 NEW
19 B 27.39% 356 +13.29%
20 B 27.19% 1084 ~
21 B 26.83% 1506 +4.23%
22 B 26.36% 55 -7.34%
23 B 25.98% 51 ~
24 B 25.76% 1084 ~
25 B 25.62% 121 ~
26 B 25.45% 1171 ~
27 B 25.17% 1207 ~
28 B 24.94% 856 ~
29 B 24.7% 253 ~
30 B 24.26% 34 +7.05%
31 B 23.57% 279 ~
32 C 22.89% 356 -3.97%
33 C 22.73% 33 ~
34 C 22.5% 30 NEW
35 C 21.8% 1264 ~
36 C 21.79% 39 NEW
37 C 21.71% 1255 ~
38 C 21.43% 42 -5.58%
39 C 21.11% 244 NEW
40 C 20.83% 30 ~
41 C 20.22% 267 -3.84%
42 C 20.16% 186 ~
43 C 19.57% 235 ~
44 C 19.44% 36 +5.42%
45 C 18.82% 259 -4.3%
46 D 17.86% 63 -13.39%
47 D 17.52% 137 -3.01%
48 D 16.9% 469 NEW
49 D 15.7% 43 NEW
50 D 15.22% 46 ~

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Esper commanders?
Esper commanders have a 26.55% win rate across 22,511 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Esper commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 50 Esper commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Esper commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Esper data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: