Live Play Data

Adrix and Nev, Twincasters

· Legendary Creature — Merfolk Wizard · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1326

Decks Running

527

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=369

14%

20%

16%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 17

On curve 40% (74 / 369 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

1330 brought · 466 players

Brought to game

1330

Ever drawn

371

Reached battlefield

257

Still on board at game end

149

Once cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.0pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=235) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=820).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=108).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.6pp; 95% confidence interval +4.0pp to +17.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

402 instances

3.0%

Library

37.1%

Battlefield

28.1%

Graveyard

7.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Adrix and Nev, Twincasters

Legendary Creature — Merfolk Wizard

Ward

(Whenever this creature becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays {2}

.) If one or more tokens would be created under your control, twice that many of those tokens are created instead.

2 / 2

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Andrew Mar

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.