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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
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Legendary Creature — Merfolk Wizard
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Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Card Preview
Adrix and Nev, Twincasters
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
158
Decks Running
87
In Decks
732
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
63 instances4.8%
Library
39.7%
Battlefield
23.8%
Graveyard
1.6%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
9 decks
-
2
Xyris, the Writhing Storm
9 decks
-
3
Adrix and Nev, Twincasters
8 decks
-
4
The Astonishing Ant-Man
6 decks
-
5
Infinite Guideline Station
5 decks
-
6
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
5 decks
-
7
Brenard, Ginger Sculptor
4 decks
-
8
Koma, Cosmos Serpent
4 decks
-
9
Aang and Katara
2 decks
-
10
Jyoti, Moag Ancient
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
161 brought · 84 playersBrought to game
161
Ever drawn
48
Reached battlefield
30
Still on board at game end
25
Once cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -22.9pp
Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=28) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=94).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=19) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -5.9pp; 95% confidence interval -22.9pp to +11.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=30
0%
T1
0%
T2
3%
T3
30%
T4
10%
T5
53%
T6-9
3%
T10+
Median
6.0
P25
4
· P75
7
· max
14
On curve
33%
(9 / 30 cast on T4)
Cast same turn as drawn
36%
30 of 100 times cast
30%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.