Advanced Reconstruction
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Advanced Reconstruction
Final zone distribution
72 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Quintorius, History Chaser
125 decks
-
2
Fire Lord Zuko
4 decks
-
3
Gwen Stacy // Ghost-Spider
2 decks
-
4
Celes, Rune Knight
1 decks
-
5
Chira, All In
1 decks
-
6
Discord, Lord of Disharmony
1 decks
-
7
Don Andres, the Renegade
1 decks
-
8
Excava, the Risen Past
1 decks
-
9
Faldorn, Dread Wolf Herald
1 decks
-
10
Joshua, Phoenix's Dominant // Phoenix, Warden of Fire
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
253 brought · 140 playersOnce cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=24) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=122).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -10.7pp to +11.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.