Alpha Authority
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Alpha Authority
Final zone distribution
45 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
14 decks
-
2
Shroofus Sproutsire
13 decks
-
3
Chishiro, the Shattered Blade
4 decks
-
4
Wolverine, Best There Is
4 decks
-
5
Fynn, the Fangbearer
3 decks
-
6
Ivy, Gleeful Spellthief
3 decks
-
7
Legolas, Master Archer
3 decks
-
8
Skullbriar, the Walking Grave
3 decks
-
9
The First Sliver
3 decks
-
10
Arcades, the Strategist
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
256 brought · 118 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 20% of the time (n=20) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=157).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=15).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -5.3pp; 95% confidence interval -17.0pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.