Aqueous Form
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Aqueous Form
Final zone distribution
227 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Kotis, the Fangkeeper
44 decks
-
2
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds
35 decks
-
3
Umbris, Fear Manifest
24 decks
-
4
Denzilore Fatehold
20 decks
-
5
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
20 decks
-
6
Marvo, Deep Operative
13 decks
-
7
Zur the Enchanter
11 decks
-
8
Ivy, Gleeful Spellthief
10 decks
-
9
Yennett, Cryptic Sovereign
10 decks
-
10
Brago, King Eternal
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
1039 brought · 469 playersOnce cast, 73% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=111) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=630).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=42).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.2pp; 95% confidence interval +2.3pp to +12.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.