Live Play Data

Change of Plans

· Instant · New Capenna Commander (NCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

273

Decks Running

122

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

40%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=25

68%

T6-9

20%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 9 · max 17

Cast same turn as drawn 17%

The "good card" funnel

273 brought · 117 players

Brought to game

273

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -16.9pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=25) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=178).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=33).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -16.9pp to +18.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

68 instances

4.4%

Library

5.9%

Battlefield

39.7%

Graveyard

2.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Zimone, Infinite Analyst 23 decks
2 Doctor Doom, King of Latveria 14 decks
3 Kamiz, Obscura Oculus 11 decks
4 Ultron, Unlimited 7 decks
5 Zaxara, the Exemplary 7 decks
6 Aragorn, the Uniter 4 decks
7 Hinata, Dawn-Crowned 4 decks
8 Magnus the Red 4 decks
9 Kotis, the Fangkeeper 3 decks
10 Magus Lucea Kane 3 decks

Card text

Change of Plans

Instant

Each of X target creatures you control connive. You may have any number of them phase out. (To have a creature connive, draw a card, then discard a card. If you discarded a nonland card, put a +1/+1 counter on that creature. Treat phased-out permanents and anything attached to them as though they don't exist until their controller's next turn.)

New Capenna Commander (NCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Campbell White

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.