Curiosity
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Curiosity
Final zone distribution
401 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
168 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
162 decks
-
3
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
44 decks
-
4
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
37 decks
-
5
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
26 decks
-
6
Yusri, Fortune's Flame
17 decks
-
7
Crystal, Inhuman Princess
14 decks
-
8
Kratos, Stoic Father
12 decks
-
9
Captain America, First Avenger
10 decks
-
10
Ivy, Gleeful Spellthief
10 decks
The "good card" funnel
1600 brought · 695 playersOnce cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=240) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=859).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=67).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.8pp; 95% confidence interval +3.4pp to +10.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.