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Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
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Final zone distribution
101 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
102 decks
-
2
Quintorius, History Chaser
66 decks
-
3
Loki, the Deceiver
4 decks
-
4
Aminatou, the Fateshifter
2 decks
-
5
Bullseye, Death Dealer
2 decks
-
6
Kamiz, Obscura Oculus
2 decks
-
7
Ketramose, the New Dawn
2 decks
- 8 Molecule Man 2 decks
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9
Norman Osborn // Green Goblin
2 decks
-
10
Smaug the Magnificent
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
368 brought · 198 playersOnce cast, 90% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=60) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=200).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.2pp; 95% confidence interval -5.0pp to +9.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=69Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.