Live Play Data

Cut Your Losses

· Sorcery · Streets of New Capenna (SNC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

241

Decks Running

142

Median Cast Turn

6.5

Drawn → Played

47%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=28

14%

21%

46%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 50% (4 / 28 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

241 brought · 135 players

Brought to game

241

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +12.0pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=28) , vs 11% when it never left the library (n=148).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +28.3pp; 95% confidence interval +12.0pp to +44.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

73 instances

5.5%

Library

4.1%

Battlefield

46.6%

Graveyard

8.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Mindskinner 26 decks
2 Bruvac the Grandiloquent 20 decks
3 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 17 decks
4 Captain N'ghathrod 10 decks
5 Hope Estheim 9 decks
6 Phenax, God of Deception 6 decks
7 The Wise Mothman 6 decks
8 Grolnok, the Omnivore 5 decks
9 Umbris, Fear Manifest 4 decks
10 Child of Alara 3 decks

Card text

Cut Your Losses

Sorcery

Casualty 2 (As you cast this spell, you may sacrifice a creature with power 2 or greater. When you do, copy this spell and you may choose a new target for the copy.) Target player mills half their library, rounded down.

Streets of New Capenna (SNC) · Rare · Illustrated by Dominik Mayer

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.