Live Play Data

Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius

· Legendary Creature — Bear Druid · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

338

Decks Running

178

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=84

12%

11%

17%

13%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 19

On curve 23% (9 / 84 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 48%

The "good card" funnel

338 brought · 196 players

Brought to game

338

Ever drawn

106

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 59% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.1pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=73) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=191).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 12% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +14.1pp; 95% confidence interval +3.1pp to +25.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

118 instances

2.5%

Library

40.7%

Battlefield

33.1%

Graveyard

6.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 49 decks
2 Flubs, the Fool 22 decks
3 Pako, Arcane Retriever 18 decks
4 Kellan, the Kid 17 decks
5 Iroh, Grand Lotus 14 decks
6 Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements 13 decks
7 Grolnok, the Omnivore 11 decks
8 Haldan, Avid Arcanist 10 decks
9 Muldrotha, the Gravetide 10 decks
10 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 6 decks

Card text

Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius

Legendary Creature — Bear Druid

Spells you cast from your graveyard or from exile cost {2}

less to cast. Plotting cards from your hand costs {2}

less.

2 / 3

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jesper Ejsing

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.