Live Play Data

Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius

· Legendary Creature — Bear Druid · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

246

Decks Running

142

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

77%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=60

15%

10%

12%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 19

On curve 25% (6 / 60 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 45%

The "good card" funnel

246 brought · 154 players

Brought to game

246

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=49) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=140).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 12% (n=17).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.0pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +22.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

81 instances

3.7%

Library

39.5%

Battlefield

33.3%

Graveyard

7.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 39 decks
2 Flubs, the Fool 20 decks
3 Kellan, the Kid 15 decks
4 Pako, Arcane Retriever 15 decks
5 Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements 10 decks
6 Iroh, Grand Lotus 10 decks
7 Muldrotha, the Gravetide 9 decks
8 Grolnok, the Omnivore 8 decks
9 Haldan, Avid Arcanist 8 decks
10 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 5 decks

Card text

Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius

Legendary Creature — Bear Druid

Spells you cast from your graveyard or from exile cost {2}

less to cast. Plotting cards from your hand costs {2}

less.

2 / 3

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jesper Ejsing

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.