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Dusk // Dawn card art
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Dusk // Dawn

{2} {W} {W} {3} {W} {W} · Sorcery // Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
237
Decks Running
141
In Decks
1472
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

50 instances
2.0%
Library
2.0%
Battlefield
44.0%
Graveyard
14.0%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

237 brought · 123 players
Brought to game
237
Ever drawn
46
Reached battlefield
26
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -9.3pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=25) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=176).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +9.6pp; 95% confidence interval -9.3pp to +28.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=26
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
4%
T4
4%
T5
62%
T6-9
31%
T10+
Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 14
On curve 69% (4 / 26 cast on T9) Cast same turn as drawn 31%
26 of 100 times cast 26%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.