Live Play Data

Dusk // Dawn

· Sorcery // Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1447

Decks Running

715

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=184

10%

68%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 20

On curve 83% (21 / 184 cast on T9) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

1448 brought · 628 players

Brought to game

1448

Ever drawn

320

Reached battlefield

184

Still on board at game end

≥ +3.0pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=165) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=945).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=126).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.3pp; 95% confidence interval +3.0pp to +17.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

349 instances

1.7%

Library

2.9%

Battlefield

49.6%

Graveyard

14.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Dusk

Sorcery

Destroy all creatures with power 3 or greater.

Dawn

Sorcery

Aftermath (Cast this spell only from your graveyard. Then exile it.) Return all creature cards with power 2 or less from your graveyard to your hand.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Kasia 'Kafis' Zielińska

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.