collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Eldrazi Confluence card art
Live Play Data

Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C} · Instant · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
527
Decks Running
243
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
67%
Format

First-cast turn

n=71
0%
T1
1%
T2
7%
T3
17%
T4
20%
T5
45%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 13
On curve 25% (12 / 71 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

527 brought · 223 players
Brought to game
527
Ever drawn
106
Reached battlefield
71
Still on board at game end
5
≥ -8.4pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=62) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=354).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -8.4pp to +13.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

127 instances
6.3%
Library
3.9%
Battlefield
54.3%
Graveyard
12.6%
Exile
Card text
Eldrazi Confluence card

Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C}
Instant
Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Target creature gets +3/-3 until end of turn. • Exile target nonland permanent, then return it to the battlefield tapped under its owner's control. • Create a 1/1 colorless Eldrazi Scion creature token with "Sacrifice this token: Add {C}."
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Hristo D. Chukov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.