collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Eldrazi Confluence card art
Live Play Data

Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C} · Instant · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
769
Decks Running
357
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
65%
Format

First-cast turn

n=109
1%
T1
3%
T2
6%
T3
17%
T4
20%
T5
45%
T6-9
9%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 13
On curve 26% (18 / 109 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

The "good card" funnel

769 brought · 324 players
Brought to game
769
Ever drawn
167
Reached battlefield
109
Still on board at game end
9
≥ +2.4pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=93) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=502).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=46).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.1pp; 95% confidence interval +2.4pp to +21.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

193 instances
5.7%
Library
4.7%
Battlefield
53.4%
Graveyard
10.4%
Exile
Card text
Eldrazi Confluence card

Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C}
Instant
Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Target creature gets +3/-3 until end of turn. • Exile target nonland permanent, then return it to the battlefield tapped under its owner's control. • Create a 1/1 colorless Eldrazi Scion creature token with "Sacrifice this token: Add {C}."
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Hristo D. Chukov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.