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Part of Modern Horizons 3
·
Instant
·
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
Card Preview
Eldrazi Confluence
Times Brought
261
Decks Running
122
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Card text
Eldrazi Confluence
Instant
Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once.
• Target creature gets +3/-3 until end of turn.
• Exile target nonland permanent, then return it to the battlefield tapped under its owner's control.
• Create a 1/1 colorless Eldrazi Scion creature token with "Sacrifice this token: Add
."
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Hristo D. Chukov
Final zone distribution
66 instances4.5%
Library
3.0%
Battlefield
45.5%
Graveyard
15.2%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
36 decks
-
2
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
15 decks
- 3 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 15 decks
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4
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
9 decks
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5
Azlask, the Swelling Scourge
6 decks
- 6 Molecule Man 6 decks
- 7 Ultima, Origin of Oblivion 4 decks
- 8 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 4 decks
- 9 Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought 3 decks
- 10 Karn, Legacy Reforged 2 decks
The "good card" funnel
261 brought · 116 playersBrought to game
261
Ever drawn
60
Reached battlefield
41
Still on board at game end
2
≥ -7.4pp
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=34) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=153).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=15) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval -7.4pp to +11.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=41
0%
T1
10%
T2
10%
T3
12%
T4
20%
T5
44%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median
5
P25
4
· P75
7
· max
12
On curve
32%
(5 / 41 cast on T4)
Cast same turn as drawn
30%
41 of 100 times cast
41%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.