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Eldrazi Confluence card art
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Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C} · Instant · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
Times Brought
554
Decks Running
270
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Eldrazi Confluence card

Eldrazi Confluence

{2} {C} {C}
Instant
Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Target creature gets +3/-3 until end of turn. • Exile target nonland permanent, then return it to the battlefield tapped under its owner's control. • Create a 1/1 colorless Eldrazi Scion creature token with "Sacrifice this token: Add {C}."
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Hristo D. Chukov

Final zone distribution

116 instances
2.6%
Library
3.4%
Battlefield
56.0%
Graveyard
11.2%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

554 brought · 248 players
Brought to game
554
Ever drawn
106
Reached battlefield
77
Still on board at game end
4
≥ -2.6pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=64) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=323).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=20).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.1pp; 95% confidence interval -2.6pp to +10.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=77
0%
T1
8%
T2
10%
T3
10%
T4
17%
T5
47%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 18
On curve 29% (8 / 77 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.