Gaea's Cradle
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Gaea's Cradle
Final zone distribution
261 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
19 decks
-
2
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
16 decks
-
3
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
14 decks
-
4
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
12 decks
-
5
Thranduil, the Elvenking
12 decks
-
6
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
10 decks
-
7
Shroofus Sproutsire
9 decks
-
8
Thrasios, Triton Hero
8 decks
-
9
Flubs, the Fool
7 decks
-
10
Sliver Overlord
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
929 brought · 342 playersOnce cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=183) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=513).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=17) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +7.1pp; 95% confidence interval +3.1pp to +11.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=228Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.