collections_bookmark Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Honest Rutstein card art
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Honest Rutstein

{1} {B} {G} · Legendary Creature — Human Warlock · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
113
Decks Running
47
In Decks
547
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

36 instances
30.6%
Battlefield
36.1%
Graveyard
2.8%
Exile
30.6%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

113 brought · 48 players
Brought to game
113
Ever drawn
33
Reached battlefield
23
Still on board at game end
11

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -17.2pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=23) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=76).

Observed gap +0.9pp; 95% confidence interval -17.2pp to +19.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23
0%
T1
0%
T2
4%
T3
9%
T4
26%
T5
48%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11
On curve 4% (1 / 23 cast on T3)
23 of 100 times cast 23%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.