Live Play Data

Junk Winder

· Creature — Serpent · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

811

Decks Running

369

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=114

14%

57%

T6-9

24%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 56% (22 / 114 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

811 brought · 351 players

Brought to game

811

Ever drawn

192

Reached battlefield

114

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=102) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=518).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=66).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.1pp; 95% confidence interval +1.5pp to +20.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

221 instances

4.1%

Library

28.5%

Battlefield

29.4%

Graveyard

9.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 73 decks
2 Xyris, the Writhing Storm 29 decks
3 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 25 decks
4 Hylda of the Icy Crown 22 decks
5 Koma, Cosmos Serpent 21 decks
6 Volo, Guide to Monsters 20 decks
7 The Watcher in the Water 13 decks
8 Adrix and Nev, Twincasters 10 decks
9 Marneus Calgar 10 decks
10 Runo Stromkirk // Krothuss, Lord of the Deep 9 decks

Card text

Junk Winder

Creature — Serpent

Affinity for tokens (This spell costs {1}

less to cast for each token you control.) Whenever a token you control enters, tap target nonland permanent an opponent controls. It doesn't untap during its controller's next untap step.

5 / 6

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Campbell White

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.