Lion's Eye Diamond
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Lion's Eye Diamond
Final zone distribution
337 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
41 decks
-
2
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
34 decks
-
3
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
27 decks
-
4
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
26 decks
-
5
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
24 decks
-
6
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
24 decks
-
7
Flubs, the Fool
18 decks
-
8
Kraum, Ludevic's Opus
17 decks
-
9
Tymna the Weaver
17 decks
-
10
Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy
16 decks
The "good card" funnel
1227 brought · 448 playersOnce cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=179) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=613).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=48).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.7pp; 95% confidence interval +1.7pp to +9.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.