Live Play Data

Lion Umbra

· Enchantment — Aura · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

471

Decks Running

197

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=72

21%

24%

42%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 15

On curve 3% (2 / 72 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

471 brought · 186 players

Brought to game

471

Ever drawn

101

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 53% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.3pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=63) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=303).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=26).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.6pp; 95% confidence interval -8.3pp to +15.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

111 instances

0.9%

Library

34.2%

Battlefield

36.0%

Graveyard

7.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Lion Umbra

Enchantment — Aura

Enchant modified creature (Equipment, Auras its controller controls, and counters are modifications.) Enchanted creature gets +3/+3 and has reach and vigilance. Umbra armor (If enchanted creature would be destroyed, instead remove all damage from it and destroy this Aura.)

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Julia Metzger

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.