Live Play Data

Little Bear

· Creature — Bear · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

286

Decks Running

113

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=48

13%

19%

50%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 15% (6 / 48 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 20%

The "good card" funnel

286 brought · 110 players

Brought to game

286

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.7pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=43) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=172).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=24).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +16.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.7pp to +31.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

80 instances

31.3%

Battlefield

35.0%

Graveyard

3.8%

Exile

30.0%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Beorn the Fierce 66 decks
2 Ayula, Queen Among Bears 20 decks
3 Kudo, King Among Bears 6 decks
4 Radagast of Rhosgobel 5 decks
5 The Earth King 3 decks
6 The Chief Warg 2 decks
7 Baylen, the Haymaker 1 decks
8 Bello, Bard of the Brambles 1 decks
9 Bristly Bill, Spine Sower 1 decks
10 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 1 decks

Card text

Little Bear

Creature — Bear

Flash When this creature enters, untap another target creature you control. If that creature is a Bear, put a +1/+1 counter on it.

3 / 2

The Hobbit (HOB) · Common · Illustrated by Tomas Duchek

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.