Lotho, Corrupt Shirriff
38% of games where Lotho, Corrupt Shirriff resolved ended in a win for the caster, a +13.9 percentage-point lift over the 24% baseline seen in decks where he never left the library.
Lotho, Corrupt Shirriff sits in 12% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, a focused niche for a mythic that punishes every second spell cast by any player. Across 895 tracked games he has been cast 180 times, producing a clear and consistent performance signal.
The win-rate story is the most notable data point so far. Games where Lotho reached the battlefield show a +13.9 percentage-point lift over games where he stayed in the library, and the lower bound of that confidence interval sits above zero, making this one of the stronger directional signals in the dataset. At a median first-cast turn of 5.0, he arrives mid-game, when opponents' spell-per-turn rates are highest and Treasure generation is at its most productive.
His Orzhov color identity ({W}{B}) keeps him in a well-supported slice of the commander meta. Mr. House, Frodo, and Y'shtola lead the commander list, reflecting both Treasure synergy and Hobbit-flavored tribal builds. With 430 unique players contributing to the dataset and a single-player concentration well below 10%, the numbers are spread across a genuine player base rather than a handful of repeat contributors.
- 12% of tracked Commander decks include Lotho
- 38% win rate in games where Lotho resolved
- +13.9pp win-rate lift over the library baseline, lower bound above zero
- T5.0 median first-cast turn
- 71% of drawn Lothos reached the battlefield before the game ended
- 45% battlefield stickiness once cast
First-cast turn
n=180The "good card" funnel
943 brought · 430 playersOf 943 Lothos brought to games, 252 were drawn, 180 of those were cast, and 45% of cast copies survived to end of game.
Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=171) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=575).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=65) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +13.9pp; 95% confidence interval +6.3pp to +21.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
291 instancesMost Lotho copies end the game somewhere other than the library, an early signal that he gets drawn and interacted with at a higher rate than a typical singleton in a 100-card deck.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
42 decks
-
2
Mr. House, President and CEO
36 decks
-
3
Marneus Calgar
33 decks
-
4
Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit
24 decks
-
5
Queen Marchesa
17 decks
-
6
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
14 decks
-
7
Vihaan, Goldwaker
14 decks
-
8
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
13 decks
-
9
Tymna the Weaver
13 decks
-
10
Sisay, Weatherlight Captain
11 decks
The commander list spans Treasure synergy builds and broad Orzhov value engines, with no single commander claiming a dominant share, reflecting how widely Lotho fits across the {W}{B} meta.