Lyra Dawnbringer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Lyra Dawnbringer
Final zone distribution
166 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Giada, Font of Hope
196 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
39 decks
-
3
Sigarda, Font of Blessings
12 decks
-
4
Shilgengar, Sire of Famine
11 decks
-
5
Aurelia, the Warleader
9 decks
-
6
Avacyn, Angel of Hope
8 decks
-
7
Seluma, Light of Aysen
6 decks
-
8
Bruna, the Fading Light
5 decks
-
9
Akroma, Vision of Ixidor
4 decks
-
10
Gisela, Blade of Goldnight
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
809 brought · 336 playersOnce cast, 63% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=97) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=431).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.1pp; 95% confidence interval +2.0pp to +12.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.