Outcaster Trailblazer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Outcaster Trailblazer
Final zone distribution
100 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Eshki, Temur's Roar
25 decks
-
2
Radagast of Rhosgobel
19 decks
-
3
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
17 decks
-
4
The Muckslinger Gang
11 decks
-
5
Zilortha, Strength Incarnate
9 decks
-
6
Goreclaw, Terror of Qal Sisma
8 decks
-
7
Ashling, the Limitless
6 decks
-
8
Omnath, Locus of Rage
6 decks
-
9
Ureni of the Unwritten
6 decks
-
10
Animar, Soul of Elements
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
409 brought · 184 playersOnce cast, 68% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=71) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=275).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 43% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.3pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +12.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.