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Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
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Creature — Human Druid
·
Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)
Card Preview
Outcaster Trailblazer
Times Brought
190
Decks Running
96
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Card text
Outcaster Trailblazer
Creature — Human Druid
When this creature enters, add one mana of any color.
Whenever another creature you control with power 4 or greater enters, draw a card.
Plot 
(You may pay 
and exile this card from your hand. Cast it as a sorcery on a later turn without paying its mana cost. Plot only as a sorcery.)
4 / 2
Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Denys Tsiperko
Final zone distribution
47 instances46.8%
Battlefield
29.8%
Graveyard
2.1%
Exile
21.3%
Hand
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Eshki, Temur's Roar
15 decks
-
2
Radagast of Rhosgobel
12 decks
-
3
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
8 decks
-
4
Goreclaw, Terror of Qal Sisma
6 decks
-
5
Zilortha, Strength Incarnate
4 decks
-
6
Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius
3 decks
-
7
Ureni of the Unwritten
3 decks
-
8
Animar, Soul of Elements
2 decks
-
9
Ghired, Conclave Exile
2 decks
-
10
Jolene, the Plunder Queen
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
190 brought · 89 playersBrought to game
190
Ever drawn
45
Reached battlefield
34
Still on board at game end
22
Once cast, 65% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +-0.0pp
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=30) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=118).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.6pp; 95% confidence interval +-0.0pp to +19.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=34
0%
T1
3%
T2
21%
T3
26%
T4
29%
T5
21%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median
4.5
P25
4
· P75
5
· max
8
On curve
24%
(7 / 34 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
25%
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.