Outpost Siege
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Outpost Siege
Final zone distribution
187 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
149 decks
-
2
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
96 decks
-
3
Krenko, Mob Boss
35 decks
-
4
Norin the Wary
21 decks
-
5
Edgar Markov
20 decks
-
6
Faldorn, Dread Wolf Herald
19 decks
-
7
Vrondiss, Rage of Ancients
15 decks
-
8
Kitt Kanto, Mayhem Diva
5 decks
-
9
Rocco, Cabaretti Caterer
5 decks
-
10
Prosper, Tome-Bound
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
925 brought · 418 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=64) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=470).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=61).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval -4.6pp to +8.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.