Prosperous Thief
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Prosperous Thief
Final zone distribution
110 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
104 decks
-
2
Satoru Umezawa
18 decks
-
3
Splinter, Radical Rat
15 decks
-
4
Noctis, Heir Apparent
9 decks
-
5
Goro-Goro and Satoru
8 decks
-
6
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
8 decks
-
7
Anowon, the Ruin Thief
4 decks
-
8
Heroes in a Half Shell
4 decks
-
9
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
2 decks
-
10
Donatello, the Brains
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
434 brought · 173 playersOnce cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=42) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=224).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=30).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +12.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.