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Rapacious Guest card art
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Rapacious Guest

{2} {B} · Creature — Halfling Citizen · Tales of Middle-earth Commander (LTC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
220
Decks Running
82
In Decks
758
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

49 instances
6.1%
Library
30.6%
Battlefield
42.9%
Graveyard
4.1%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

221 brought · 92 players
Brought to game
221
Ever drawn
44
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
15

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -16.5pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=33) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=149).

Observed gap -2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -16.5pp to +12.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=33
0%
T1
0%
T2
18%
T3
12%
T4
9%
T5
45%
T6-9
15%
T10+
Median 7 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14
On curve 18% (6 / 33 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 40%
33 of 100 times cast 33%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.