Live Play Data

Smaug, Wicked Worm

· Legendary Creature — Dragon · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

599

Decks Running

235

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=149

19%

17%

51%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 44% (26 / 149 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 43%

The "good card" funnel

599 brought · 219 players

Brought to game

599

Ever drawn

148

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.7pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=87) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=371).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=44).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.1pp; 95% confidence interval +0.7pp to +21.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

168 instances

1.8%

Library

31.0%

Battlefield

35.1%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Smaug, Wicked Worm

Legendary Creature — Dragon

Flying When Smaug enters, create X tapped Treasure tokens, where X is the number of artifacts your opponents control. Whenever you cast a spell, if mana from a Treasure was spent to cast it, you draw a card and lose 1 life.

5 / 5

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Antonio José Manzanedo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.