Card Preview

Smaug, Wicked Worm

· Legendary Creature — Dragon · The Hobbit (HOB)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

520

Decks Running

218

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Smaug, Wicked Worm

Legendary Creature — Dragon

Flying When Smaug enters, create X tapped Treasure tokens, where X is the number of artifacts your opponents control. Whenever you cast a spell, if mana from a Treasure was spent to cast it, you draw a card and lose 1 life.

5 / 5

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Antonio José Manzanedo

Final zone distribution

109 instances

1.8%

Library

31.2%

Battlefield

27.5%

Graveyard

8.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

520 brought · 208 players

Brought to game

520

Ever drawn

103

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.6pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=36) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=302).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=39).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.1pp; 95% confidence interval -8.6pp to +8.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=96

19%

32%

41%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 16

On curve 56% (31 / 96 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 37%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.